Saturday, January 09, 2021

A Look Back At Zeros To Heroes 2020

On June 4th of last year, I published a post in which I once again wrote about my Zeros to Heroes NFL bets. It's now time to see how those wagers fared at the conclusion of the 2020 regular season.

The method behind the Zeros to Heroes bets is to gamble on the teams that finished at the bottom of their division in the previous season and then hired a new head coach during the post or off-season.

For 2020, two teams were eligible. They were the Carolina Panthers, who hired Matt Rhule after finishing bottom in the NFC South, and the Washington team who hired former Panthers head coach - Ron Rivera.

As I like betting multiples rather than singles, I decided to add the teams I had punted on in 2019 to Carolina and Washington.

I found that there was a  crossover because I had Tampa Bay and Carolina both to win the NFC South. Therefore, I placed two separate Lucky 63 bets with one of the selections being the Buccaneers and the other being the Panthers.

They looked like this:

Bet 1
Cincinnati to win the AFC North
NY Jets to win the AFC East
Tampa Bay to win the NFC South
Arizona to win the NFC West
Washington to win the NFC East

Bet 2
Cincinnati to win the AFC North
NY Jets to win the AFC East
Carolina to win the NFC South
Arizona to win the NFC West
Washington to win the NFC East

The results were:

Cincinnati finished bottom of the AFC North
NY Jets went 2-14 and finished fourth in the AFC East
Tampa Bay finished second in the NFC South
Carolina finished third in the NFC South
Arizona were third in the NFC West
Washington won NFC East

I ended up making a profit of..... 32p!

I'll return with a Zeros to Heroes for the 2021 season later in the year. 

This time, I won't need to add teams from previous bets - like I did in 2020 due to only two teams being eligible - because four teams that finished bottom of their respective divisions in 2020 that will have new head coaches in place for 2021. They are:

Atlanta Falcons
Detroit Lions
New York Jets 
Jacksonville Jaguars

It'll be a Lucky 15 multiple when the bet is placed.

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