Friday, November 18, 2022

Predicting The TNF Week 11 Winners (2022)

Here's how my spreadsheet's picks are looking after ten weeks of NFL games on a Thursday night.

TNF 2022 Betting After 10 Weeks

It's at 9-9 and I have a feeling it might get worse following its projections for tonight's game between the Titans and Packers.

The spreadsheet predicts that the Titans will win by one point and for the total number of points scored to be thirty-nine. Therefore, the plays are:

Recommended Plays
Tennessee +3
Under 41

I've taken a look over the history of the Titans versus Packers since the 2001 season to make a case for those suggestions and noticed the following:

  • The Titans are 3-2 as underdogs in these meetings
  • The Under is 2-4
  • The Titans are 1-2 when they're positioned as road dogs
  • The Under is 0-3 in Green Bay

This is yet another occasion where I would have done a 'Pass'  because history is not strongly backing the spreadsheet up, especially when it comes to suggesting the Under.

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