Thursday, September 29, 2022

Predicting The TNF Week 4 Winners (2022)

My spreadsheet is 3-2 in picking sides and totals for Thursday night NFL games in 2022.

I have put the data together for tonight's game between the Miami Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals and it has the Dolphins over the Bengals by five points with a total of forty-seven points to be scored.

The bookmakers currently list the Bengals as -3.5 favourites with the total line set at 47.5. Therefore, it is opting to go for the underdogs and the under.

Recommended Plays
Miami +3.5
Under 47.5

Here are some notes I've taken from my database which has the pointspread and totals history from the 2001 season right up to last year.
  • Overall, the Dolphins are 4-3 when entering this fixture as underdogs
  • Overall, the Under has hit six times in the nine meetings
  • In Cincinnati, the Dolphins are 2-2 as dogs
  • In Cincinnati, the Under is 5-0 
Unlike last Thursday, I doubt I will have a bet. However, if I do, I think it has to be on the under just because of the history.

This will be the game in which Cincinnati wears the white and black tiger colours on their helmets As I noted in July, I think it'll be cool to see this variant.

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