Thursday, August 26, 2010

Betting On Madden

In last Thursday's post, I noted how I had bought NFL Madden '11 for the PlayStation 3. And, whilst playing it, I reminded myself of the time in 2007 when I had a 'Madden System' and set my betting strategy on the results that occurred in the season mode of the game.

Of course, I didn't make my picks specifically on what happened in the simulated game. I based some of my selections on my opinion, what the tipsters were thinking and also on the game.

It was a bad idea.

I ended up giving up after a few weeks.

I was once again playing the season mode and made a note of the scores that took place in week two of the preseason. I then looked at the betting lines.

The results came back and nine were in favour of the PS3. That's a 56% strike-rate which isn't too bad, if I say so myself.

Had I put 11pts on each game, I would have returned 160pt profit.

I don't intend to use this in all my picks for the upcoming season but I may have a look and see what the simulated game selected before I make my final choices.

Below are the teams and their margin of victory for week three. I'll return next week to see how they did (please note: I am not betting on these, it's purely an experiment).

New England by 10
Atlanta by 7
Washington by 9
Kansas City by 3
New Orleans by 14
Cleveland by 5
Cincinnati by 28
Tampa Bay by 11
Baltimore by 14
Dallas by 12
Carolina by 13
Minnesota by 17
Chicago by 2
Oakland by 19
Pittsburgh by 14

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