I had yet another American football betting idea while looking through the 2020 season preview guides last week.
It went like this:
Wouldn't it be interesting to place bets on the exact division finishing order that each book has projected for the upcoming season?
I had a look across a selection of online bookmakers to see which ones were offering the ability to gamble on the exact positions each division will end. All I could find was Paddy Power.
I wanted to do a Goliath with the eight selections. However, for some reason (possibly Tom Brady jumping ship from the New England Patriots), the bookies weren't accepting wagers on the correct order that the AFC East finishes up.
With there only being seven divisions to bet on, I was forced to go the Super Heinz route.
A Super Heinz wager consists of 120 bets starting from all possible doubles that can be made with seven selections right up to one seven-fold.
The three wagers were done using the following yearbooks:
Gridirion
Lindy's
Street and Smith's Football 2020
In the sections below, I'll write about the division orders that each book has predicted and then get on to showing you what the odds are as well as the possible winnings I'll make from each bet.
It should go without saying that these wagers are really something to follow along during the season. I'm not going in expecting to win the jackpot, if you will.
NFC South
All three yearbooks have the New Orleans Saints winning the division. They also have the same sequence when it comes to second, third and fourth places.
The order is: New Orleans, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, Carolina
NFC East
The yearbooks have the NFC South to end in the following order: Dallas, Philadelphia, New York Giants, Washington.
NFC North
Green Bay is fancied to win the NFC North by Street and Smith and Gridiron. However, the folks at Lindy's have Minnesota to be division champions.
Street and Smith's Order: Green Bay, Chicago, Minnesota, Detroit
Gridiron's order: Green Bay, Minnesota, Chicago, Detroit
Lindy's order: Minnesota, Chicago, Green Bay, Detroit
NFC West
All the books have San Francisco to be the victors of the NFC West. They also believe Seattle will finish second. However, there is a conflict of opinion with how third and fourth place will end with Lindy's and Gridiron picking Arizona to finish third ahead of the Los Angeles Rams while Street and Smith has Los Angeles third followed by the Cardinals.
Street and Smith's order: San Francisco, Seattle, Los Angeles Rams, Arizona
Gridiron's order: San Francisco, Seattle, Arizona, Los Angeles Rams
Lindy's order: San Francisco, Seattle, Arizona, Los Angeles Rams
AFC South
Lindy's believes that the Indianapolis Colts will be AFC South division champions while the other two have the Tennessee Titans doing so.
Street and Smith's order: Tennessee, Houston, Indianapolis, Jacksonville
Gridiron's order: Tennessee, Indianapolis, Houston, Jacksonville
Lindy's order: Indianapolis, Houston, Tennessee, Jacksonville
AFC East
All three yearbooks have the AFC East to be won by the Buffalo Bills with New England as first runners up. Then comes a contrast with Lindy's picking the Jets to finish in third ahead of Miami while the other two publications have Miami and then the Jets.
As noted above - at the time of my wagers, the market for the AFC East was off the board. Therefore, I was unable to place bets on this division.
Street and Smith's order: Buffalo, New England, Miami, NY Jets,
Gridiron's order: Buffalo, New England, Miami, NY Jets
Lindy's order: Buffalo, New England, NY Jets, Miami
AFC North
The Baltimore Ravens are all three magazines' picks to win the AFC North. However, there are conflicts with the rest of the order. Lindy's and Street and Smith have the same order while Gridiron has a different projection.
Street and Smith's order: Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Cincinnati
Lindy's order: Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Cincinnati
Gridiron's order: Baltimore, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati
AFC West
Street and Smith's book - along with Gridiron - have Kansas City winning the AFC West followed by Las Vegas, Denver and the Los Angeles Chargers. Lindy's projection has the Chiefs followed by the Broncos, Chargers and Raiders.
Street and Smith's order: Kansas City, Las Vegas, Denver, Los Angeles Chargers
Gridiron's order: Kansas City, Las Vegas, Denver, Los Angeles Chargers
Lindy's order: Kansas City, Denver, Los Angeles Chargers, Las Vegas
My Bets
I have wagered 10p per line in the Super Heinz. Therefore, I've spent £12 on each wager. That's £36 in total.
All of the bets can be viewed below. You can see what I've gambled on and, most importantly, see what the odds are for each selection.
Street and Smith's Super Heinz
AFC West: KC, LV, DEN, LAC 9/2
NFC East: DAL, PHI, NYG, WAS 2/1
AFC North: BAL, PIT, CLE, CIN 8/5
AFC South: TEN, HOU, IND, JAX 13/2
NFC North: GB, CHI, MIN, DET 13/2
NFC South: NO, TB, ATL, CAR 13/10
NFC West: SF, SEA, LAR, ARI 7/2
Potential Winnings: £12,270.73
Gridiron's Super Heinz
AFC West: KC, LV, DEN, LAC 9/2
NFC East: DAL, PHI, NYG, WAS 2/1
AFC North: BAL, CLE, PIT, CIN 11/5
AFC South: TEN, IND, HOU, JAX 7/2
NFC North: GB, MIN, CHI, DET 5/1
NFC South: NO, TB, ATL, CAR 13/10
NFC West: SF, SEA, ARI, LAR 13/1
Potential Winnings: £20,806.84
Lindy's Super Heinz
AFC West: KC, DEN, LAC, LV 4/1
NFC East: DAL, PHI, NYG, WAS 2/1
AFC North: BAL, PIT, CLE, CIN 8/5
AFC South: IND, HOU, TEN, JAX 11/2
NFC North: MIN, CHI, GB, DET 17/2
NFC South: NO, TB, ATL, CAR 13/10
NFC West: SF, SEA, ARI, LAR 13/1
Potential Winnings: £33,675.41
If all goes well (ie - the season happens and concludes properly), I'll publish an update with a look at how the yearbooks' picks compared to actuality.
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