Curiosity And The Socks With Buffalos On Them

The socks with buffalos are on. The Indianapolis Colts Nikes aren't.

I don't know why I forgot the latter. I know why I remembered the former.

Early this evening, the Buffalo Bills will play the Jacksonville Jaguars in the wild card round of the NFL Playoffs. I'd like Buffalo to go as far as they can, so I'll be rooting for them over the next few weeks. 

If they make it that far, of course.

I haven't used the spreadsheet to make any of my picks at all this season. It has all been done with the database results. However, for today, curiosity has gotten the better of me. I have to see what it's predicting for the Bills' visit to the Jags.

One moment please.

* * *

Eek.

It has the Jaguars winning by only one point. Close.

Going by the lines, that does actually call for the Bills to cover the spread. That's because the bookmakers have them listed as two-point road dogs. 

As for the database: it shows that the series has gone 4-4 (50%) straight up when these teams have met in Jacksonville. The Bills are 6-2 (75%) against the spread from those games. They've been road dogs on five of those occasions and have a 4-1 (80%) record from only those fixtures.

I, for sure, would have picked Buffalo in the handicapping contest had this been a regular season game. The only thing against them is the spreadsheet giving the Jaguars the win by one measly point. 

One measly point is all it takes in the playoffs, however.