Friday, January 05, 2024

Time And Probability

It's almost over.

The 2023 NFL regular season wraps up this weekend. 

Every single year, I find myself thinking to myself how fast time goes between September and January. And - to counter the previous notion - I also find myself bugged out that February to the end of August seems to go at snail speed.

'Bugged out' and 'snail speed' - do you see what I did there?

With my gripes about the passing of time, I do have to say I am looking forward to the NFL playoffs and - obviously - the Super Bowl. 

Looking at the potential playoff scenarios, the Indianapolis Colts need to get a win against Houston to make it to the post-season. The computer currently has the team at a 46% probability of reaching mid-January football. Should they overcome the Texans tomorrow, that number goes up to 99%.

A loss drives the chance down to 1%.

As of the time of writing, the Colts are 1-point underdogs. Home dogs, which might help!

No comments:

Post a Comment