Thursday, October 08, 2020

Predicting The TNF Week 5 Winner

My spreadsheet went 1-1 with last week's picks for the Thursday Night Football game between the Denver Broncos and the New York Jets.

It predicted the Broncos to cover the +1.5 spread, which they did with a winning score of 37-28.

After telling you the score, it should come as no surprise that the loss in the two plays from last week came with the projection that the match would fall under forty-one points.

The overall score for the season, so far, is 3-3-1.

And now it's time to look to tonight's game.

I've put the numbers in and the spreadsheet has the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win by six points away to the Chicago Bears. It projects that there will be forty-eight points scored in the game. Therefore, the recommended plays are:

Tampa Bay -3.5
Over 44.5

It's another case of me avoiding the team as (a) don't like Tampa Bay being the visiting favourite and (b) I especially don't like the .5 hook.

As for the Over? Well - I do kind of like it...

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