Denver's Ugly OT Win And Picks For Rest Of Week 6

'That was an ugly win,' was the first thing I thought when the Denver Broncos scored an overtime field goal last night. As if to punctuate my opinion, Kirk Herbstreit said something along the lines of 'that wasn't pretty.'

Either way, it was a win. A win is a win is a win. And all that.

Playing Denver in football contest

I was happy with the result because I opted to take the Broncos +2.5 as one of the five selections in the spread contests I play in. I went against my rule of not taking a side in Thursday night games.

The reason why I opposed my self-appointed ruling is because of some of the things I liked about the game, when I researched it earlier this year.

Was Denver the correct play?

While writing Taylor's Pro Football Gambling Annual 2026, I found the Broncos had gone 14-9 overall and 7-4 at home against the spread whenever they've faced current Super Bowl Champions.

As well as that, I liked the fact that the bookies had cast Denver as home underdogs in a situation where they had a straight up home record of 8-2 (80%) against Seattle between 1995 and 2024.

Seahawks .vs. Broncos head-to-heads since 1995 (before last night's game)

Those home stats now obviously improve to 9-2 (90%) straight up at home against the Seahawks. Denver will now have a 1-0 (100%) record in the home underdogs section.

All of the information for that game, and every other fixture of the NFL's 2026 regular season, can be found in the latest edition of Taylor's Pro Football Gambling Annual.

The Remaining Week 6 NFL Contest Picks

For those interested to know, the other four selections in this week's entry are:

• New York Giants +1: The Giants are 7-4 SU at home against the Saints
• Arizona +12.5: Mainly a play on the double digits but also factoring in the Rams are coming off a Monday night overtime game and are facing a head coach who knows them well in Mike LaFleur. The Cardinals are also 15-10 (60%) ATS at the Rams. Eighteen of those games were as underdogs. They own an 11-7 (61%) record in covering from those meetings.
• Las Vegas +5.5: Just like with the Cardinals, I'm fading the other team in Monday's OT game (Bills). 
• Dallas +1.5: Another situational play. This time, I'm backing the Cowboys because they are returning to action following a Week 5 Thursday game. The Packers, on the other hand, beat their rivals - the Bears - on Sunday. The head-to-head history doesn't paint a good picture for the Cowboys, so this sure is a troublesome pick and one I wouldn't put real money on.

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